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2024-12-13 04:37:49

How to do economic work next year? A quick look at the main points of the Politburo meeting. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting held that China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength continued to increase. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed. (21 Finance)Spot silver stood at $32 per ounce, the first time since November 8, rising by 3.38% in the day.Societe Generale predicts that the S&P 500 will reach 6750 by the end of 2025.


Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the OECD, and Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, in Beijing on December 9 to have an in-depth exchange of views on the world economic situation and further deepening bilateral cooperation. Wang Wentao pointed out that China is willing to share policy experience, conduct personnel exchanges and promote pragmatic cooperation with the OECD in the fields of trade and investment, digital economy and green development. It is hoped that the OECD can continue to give full play to the advantages of the "incubator" of global high-standard international rules, work with China to promote the construction of an open world economy and oppose protectionism. Coleman spoke highly of China's achievements in realizing economic development and opening wider to the outside world, and said that China's strong economic growth has played an important supporting role in the global economy. He is willing to cooperate more closely with China in the fields of climate change and service trade, oppose protectionism and jointly meet global challenges.The French CAC40 index rose by 1.00% in the day.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.


Minister Wang Wentao met with WTO Director-General Ivira. On December 9, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with WTO Director-General Ivira in Beijing. The two sides had an in-depth exchange of views on WTO reform and deepening cooperation between China and the WTO. Wang Wentao said that the reform of the WTO is of great significance in coping with common global challenges, and China is willing to make joint efforts with all parties to promote positive progress in the reform. China supports the WTO to achieve more results in the field of development and calls for the normal operation of the dispute settlement mechanism. China supports the early incorporation of the investment facilitation agreement into the WTO legal framework, the conclusion of the second-stage agreement on fishery subsidies, the conclusion of the negotiations on the joint statement on e-commerce, and the promotion of multilateral trade rules to keep pace with the times. (Ministry of Commerce)The operating rate of Russian refineries increased because the ban was lifted and gasoline exports resumed.Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September, while Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September. Popular Chinese stocks rose collectively, with iQiyi, Xpeng Motors, Weilai and JD.COM rising by over 10%, LI and Netease by over 9%, Pinduoduo by over 8%, Alibaba by over 7% and Baidu by over 6%.

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